This site uses trends from historic data directly in a clear and transparent way to answer "What will the future look like if we apply the same policies - and presumably see the same growth rate - as in a certain time in the past?" Because case counts fluctuate with testing and vital statistics introduce a time delay, this site focuses on the hospitalization rate (current hospitalized count of COVID-19 patients) as the best near real-time indicator of the impact of the pandemic.

Red (rising) and green (falling) trendlines are calculated from past data. Click on one to extend the trend through past data and also see how the future would look if that trend applies from today forward.